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GROUP CHIEF
EXECUTIVE
Graham Mackay |
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Strategy
The Group continues to follow a strategy of acquiring and developing
beer operations in selected international markets. In sub-Saharan
Africa, significant investments have been made in many countries,
and this has had the added benefit of supporting the South African
government's policy of assisting and promoting economic development
in this region. In Central Europe, the Group has secured a major
strategic position, and has also achieved significant advances
in China, one of the world's fastest growing beer markets.
The Group's
South African businesses are of a size and strength to have enabled
SAB to support these successful entries into other developing
markets. The Group is the largest brewer in Africa, producing
two-thirds of all beer consumed on the continent, including over
15 million hectolitres of brand Castle. Worldwide last year, the
Group produced 48 million hectolitres of lager beer, 14 million
hectolitres of carbonated soft drinks and 8 million hectolitres
of other beverages.
A key Group
objective is the delivery of long-term shareholder value and there
are three main drivers for this:
- additional
volumes, margin expansion and cash flow generation in the South
African businesses, where the Group remains fully committed
to supporting further growth and development in the economy;
- optimising
and expanding SAB plc's established positions in other developing
markets, by growing organically and by acquisition to complement
and support the existing operations; and
- seeking
larger investments in both developing and established markets
where value-adding capability can be demonstrated, for example,
in economies of scale or brand portfolios.
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Core
investment activity
During the past year, the Group recorded further progress in strengthening
and consolidating its position in the core beverage, hotel and
gaming businesses. While pursuing organic development and expansion
of these core businesses, SAB plc is in discussions to dispose
of its non-core shareholding in Plate Glass and Shatterprufe Industries.
Recent highlights
in the drive for growth in long-term shareholder value include:
- In Europe,
the brewing interests in Lech Browary and Browary Tyskie in
Poland are being integrated for greater efficiency and competitiveness,
while the partially completed brewery in Kaluga Oblast near
Moscow, acquired early last year, has been commissioned.
- The African
operations saw a greenfield brewery open at Thika in Kenya in
October 1998, and the recent acquisition of Lonrho Africa's
sorghum breweries in Zambia and Malawi. Also, the SAB International
("SABI") lager operations acquired Northern Breweries, situated
in Zambia's copperbelt region.
- SABI Asia's
expansion continues and includes plans for a joint venture to
operate a brewery in India. The acquisition of Foster's Brewery
in Tianjin, China, has just been announced.
- Subsidiary
ABI's acquisition and integration of the major franchise business
and assets of the Coca-Cola bottler, Suncrush, has been a quantum
leap in securing an aggregate 60 per cent share in the South
African carbonated soft drinks market.
- Tsogo Sun,
the Group's gaming associate, consolidated its position within
the South African gaming industry by opening its third casino,
north of Johannesburg.
- Southern
Sun recently announced a joint venture acquisition of the four
Cullinan hotels in key locations, including Cape Town.
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Operating
performance
This past year has been a challenging one for the Group with economic
crises in a number of emerging markets. The South African consumer
economy deteriorated sharply from mid-1998 and rand interest rates
rose to historically high levels in real terms. Under these conditions,
SAB again demonstrated considerable resilience in its overall
performance.
Lager beer
volumes of 48 million hectolitres grew organically by 6 per cent,
compared with the world beer market increase in calendar 1998
of 1.5 per cent. Total beverage volumes reached 70 million hectolitres
- 11 per cent ahead of the previous year. Group turnover, at US$6.2
billion including associates, rose by 5 per cent.
Group operating
profit before exceptionals was US$786 million, reflecting a profit
improvement of 3 per cent in US dollar terms, notwithstanding
the 22 per cent depreciation in the value of the South African
rand.
The core beverage
and hotel business, in aggregate before exceptionals, exhibited
a healthy operating margin at 17 per cent, almost a full point
ahead of the prior year.
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Exceptional
items
The economic situation in Russia has been well documented and
an impairment provision of US$71 million (78 per cent) was made
against the Group's investment there. Management remains optimistic
about the Russian beer market over the longer term and the brewery
was completed, on time, in April 1999. Other exceptional items,
totalling US$9 million pre-tax and minorities, include the adjustment
to bring SABI's reporting date into line with the rest of the
Group (US$21 million reduction in operating profit), closure and
re-organisation costs (US$19 million) and SABI capitalisation
costs (US$11 million). These are detailed in note 6 to the financial
statements.
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Outlook
In the first half of the current year, the Group anticipates continued
difficult trading conditions as emerging market economies struggle
to recover and, while it is too early to form a clear view, this
period is likely to reflect relatively subdued trading conditions
as well as start-up losses in Russia.
In South Africa,
interest rates are well down from their 1998 peak, corporate taxes
have been reduced by 5 percentage points and inflation is forecast
to fall. All of this can be expected to lead to improved prospects
for private consumption expenditure in the second half of the
current financial year. As anticipated, the election returned
the ANC to government, and this should maintain fiscal policy
consistency which will be supportive of enhanced economic growth.
Initial signs
of an improving outlook for the commodity cycle should have a
beneficial and stabilising impact on the economies of many developing
countries. Management's ongoing initiatives to drive sales, market
share and productivity will provide additional impetus. Consequently,
barring any economic instability, particularly relating to currency
markets, the Board remains positive on the outlook for the full
year.
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15 June 1999 |
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